Morocco Hub
What happened?
A supercomputer predicts Morocco's win against Canada in the 2026 World Cup, with a qualification rate of approximately 67%, while a draw remains a possible option at 26.5% out of 25,000 simulations.
Morocco enters the match after a big win over Senegal with a score of 3-0 on January 18, 2026, and tops the group with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches.
Why it matters for Morocco
Morocco is considered one of the most defensively solid teams in the tournament, having allowed an average of only 8.3 shots on goal per game, with an expected goals rate against their goal of no more than 0.8.
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Senegal 0-3 Morocco |
What comes next?
Morocco will face Canada in the round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup, in a match that is expected to be a real test of the ambitions of both teams to continue their World Cup journey.
Canada shows a clear ability to adapt, having adopted a possession-based approach in the group stage with a 61% possession rate, before dropping to 42% in the last match against South Africa, in a tactical shift that reflects flexibility in their playing style depending on the opponent.
Historical background
Morocco has not lost any match against Canada in four previous encounters, while achieving two wins in their previous matches against North and Central American teams (CONCACAF) in the World Cup.
Morocco is considered one of the most stable teams in major tournaments, having reached the semi-finals of the 2022 World Cup, with a performance described as more mature and cohesive in the 2026 edition.
